Chaos Zero Nightmare
  • Official Community
  • PC/MOBILE
  • Roguelite RPG
  • Smilegate, Inc.,

커뮤니티 게시판 글상세

Probabilities

글상세

Probabilities

Memory Fragment Upgrade Probabilities(11/12 Edited)



Zero Out All Despair!
Hello, This is the Chaos Zero Nightmare Team 


Chaos Zero Nightmare displays probabilities after rounding decimal values.
Therefore, the total probability displayed may be slightly above or below 100%
* Information as of November 12, 2025.

■ Memory Fragment Main Option Probabilities
- Each Memory Fragment has different main options depending on its part. The table below shows the probability of each main option by part.
- Main option probabilities are not affected by the Memory Fragment’s grade (Uncommon, Rare, or Legendary).

Memory Fragment Equipment Part

Main Options

Probability

Shock

Attack +

100.00000%

Suppression

Defense +

100.00000%

Denial

Health +

100.00000%

Ideal

Attack %

25.00000%

Health %

25.00000%

Critical Chance %

25.00000%

Critical Damage %

25.00000%

Desire

Attack %

14.28571%

Health %

14.28571%

Passion Damage %

14.28571%

Justice Damage %

14.28571%

Order Damage %

14.28571%

Void Damage %

14.28571%

Instinct Damage %

14.28571%

Imagination

Attack %

25.00000%

Defense %

25.00000%

Health %

25.00000%

Ego Recovery

25.00000%


■ Memory Fragment Main Options Upgrade Values and Probabilities
- Each grade affects a Memory Fragment’s main option—its base value, max level, and upgrade increments.

Memory Fragment Grade

Max Upgrade

Uncommon

3

Rare

4

Legendary

5


Grade

Uncommon

Memory Fragment Equipment Part

Main Option Type

Upgrade +0

Upgrade +1

Upgrade +2

Upgrade +3

Shock

Attack +

8

9

11

12

Suppression

Defense +

8

9

11

12

Denial

Health +

13

15

17

20

Ideal

Attack %

2.5%

4.5%

6.5%

8.5%

Health %

2.5%

4.5%

6.5%

8.5%

Critical Chance %

1.5%

3.0%

4.5%

6.0%

Critical Damage %

2.3%

4.6%

6.9%

9.2%

Desire

Attack %

2.5%

4.5%

6.5%

8.5%

Health %

2.5%

4.5%

6.5%

8.5%

Passion Damage %

1.7%

2.3%

2.9%

3.5%

Justice Damage %

1.7%

2.3%

2.9%

3.5%

Order Damage %

1.7%

2.3%

2.9%

3.5%

Void Damage %

1.7%

2.3%

2.9%

3.5%

Instinct Damage %

1.7%

2.3%

2.9%

3.5%

Imagination

Attack %

2.5%

4.5%

6.5%

8.5%

Defense %

2.5%

4.5%

6.5%

8.5%

Health %

2.5%

4.5%

6.5%

8.5%

Ego Recovery

4

7

10

13


Grade

Rare

Memory Fragment Equipment Part

Main Option Type

Upgrade +0

Upgrade +1

Upgrade +2

Upgrade +3

Upgrade +4

Shock

Attack +

10

12

13

15

17

Suppression

Defense +

10

12

13

15

17

Denial

Health +

17

20

23

25

28

Ideal

Attack %

5.0%

8.0%

11.0%

14.0%

17.0%

Health %

5.0%

8.0%

11.0%

14.0%

17.0%

Critical Chance %

3.0%

6.0%

9.0%

12.0%

15.0%

Critical Damage %

4.5%

9.0%

13.5%

18.0%

22.5%

Desire

Attack %

5.0%

8.0%

11.0%

14.0%

17.0%

Health %

5.0%

8.0%

11.0%

14.0%

17.0%

Passion Damage %

3.3%

4.7%

6.1%

7.5%

8.9%

Justice Damage %

3.3%

4.7%

6.1%

7.5%

8.9%

Order Damage %

3.3%

4.7%

6.1%

7.5%

8.9%

Void Damage %

3.3%

4.7%

6.1%

7.5%

8.9%

Instinct Damage %

3.3%

4.7%

6.1%

7.5%

8.9%

Imagination

Attack %

5.0%

8.0%

11.0%

14.0%

17.0%

Defense %

5.0%

8.0%

11.0%

14.0%

17.0%

Health %

5.0%

8.0%

11.0%

14.0%

17.0%

Ego Recovery

8

11

14

17

20


Grade

Legendary

Memory Fragment Equipment Part

Main Option Type

Upgrade +0

Upgrade +1

Upgrade +2

Upgrade +3

Upgrade +4

Upgrade +5

Shock

Attack +

12

14

16

18

20

22

Suppression

Defense +

12

14

16

18

20

22

Denial

Health +

20

23

27

30

33

37

Ideal

Attack %

7.5%

11.0%

14.5%

18.0%

21.5%

25.0%

Health %

7.5%

11.0%

14.5%

18.0%

21.5%

25.0%

Critical Chance %

4.5%

9.0%

13.5%

18.0%

22.5%

27.0%

Critical Damage %

6.8%

13.6%

20.4%

27.2%

34.0%

40.8%

Desire

Attack %

7.5%

11.0%

14.5%

18.0%

21.5%

25.0%

Health %

7.5%

11.0%

14.5%

18.0%

21.5%

25.0%

Passion Damage %

5.0%

7.2%

9.4%

11.6%

13.8%

16.0%

Justice Damage %

5.0%

7.2%

9.4%

11.6%

13.8%

16.0%

Order Damage %

5.0%

7.2%

9.4%

11.6%

13.8%

16.0%

Void Damage %

5.0%

7.2%

9.4%

11.6%

13.8%

16.0%

Instinct Damage %

5.0%

7.2%

9.4%

11.6%

13.8%

16.0%

Imagination

Attack %

7.5%

11.0%

14.5%

18.0%

21.5%

25.0%

Defense %

7.5%

11.0%

14.5%

18.0%

21.5%

25.0%

Health %

7.5%

11.0%

14.5%

18.0%

21.5%

25.0%

Ego Recovery

10

16

22

28

34

40


■ Memory Fragment Sub Option Probabilities
- Memory Fragment sub options are determined by its grade and upgrade level.
- One additional sub option is added each time the upgrade level increases by 1.
- A Memory Fragment can have up to 4 sub options.

Memory Fragment Grade

Initial Sub Options Owned

Uncommon

1

Rare

2

Legendary

3


- Applicable Sub Options
ㆍ The same sub option cannot apply more than once on a Memory Fragment, and sub options cannot duplicate the main option.
ㆍ Since main and sub options cannot overlap, the adjusted probability is calculated as: Displayed Probability/(100% – Sum of excluded sub option probabilities)

Sub Option Type

Probability

Attack +

10.63830%

Defense +

10.63830%

Health +

10.63830%

Attack %

9.57447%

Defense %

9.57447%

Health %

9.57447%

Critical Chance %

7.44681%

Critical Damage %

7.44681%

Ego Recovery

7.44681%

Extra Damage %

8.51064%

Damage over Time %

8.51064%


■ Memory Fragment Sub Options Application and Upgrade Probabilities by Grade
- Memory Fragment sub options vary depending on its grade.
- If a Memory Fragment already has 4 sub options, one of the existing ones will be upgraded instead.
- Sub options and upgrades are determined by the probabilities listed below.

[ Attack + ]

Uncommon

Rare

Legendary

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

3

25.00000%

4

25.00000%

5

25.00000%

4

25.00000%

5

25.00000%

6

25.00000%

5

25.00000%

6

25.00000%

7

25.00000%

6

25.00000%

7

25.00000%

8

25.00000%


[ Defense + ]

Uncommon

Rare

Legendary

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

2

50.00000%

2

33.33333%

3

33.33333%

3

50.00000%

3

33.33333%

4

33.33333%

4

33.33333%

5

33.33333%


[ Health + ]

Uncommon

Rare

Legendary

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

6

33.33333%

8

33.33333%

10

33.33333%

7

33.33333%

9

33.33333%

11

33.33333%

8

33.33333%

10

33.33333%

12

33.33333%


[ Attack % ]

Uncommon

Rare

Legendary

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

0.2%

25.00000%

0.5%

25.00000%

0.8%

16.66667%

0.3%

25.00000%

0.6%

25.00000%

0.9%

16.66667%

0.4%

25.00000%

0.7%

25.00000%

1.0%

16.66667%

0.5%

25.00000%

0.8%

25.00000%

1.1%

16.66667%

1.2%

16.66667%

1.3%

16.66667%


[ Defense % ]

Uncommon

Rare

Legendary

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

0.2%

25.00000%

0.5%

25.00000%

0.8%

16.66667%

0.3%

25.00000%

0.6%

25.00000%

0.9%

16.66667%

0.4%

25.00000%

0.7%

25.00000%

1.0%

16.66667%

0.5%

25.00000%

0.8%

25.00000%

1.1%

16.66667%

1.2%

16.66667%

1.3%

16.66667%


[ Health % ]

Uncommon

Rare

Legendary

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

0.2%

25.00000%

0.5%

25.00000%

0.8%

16.66667%

0.3%

25.00000%

0.6%

25.00000%

0.9%

16.66667%

0.4%

25.00000%

0.7%

25.00000%

1.0%

16.66667%

0.5%

25.00000%

0.8%

25.00000%

1.1%

16.66667%

1.2%

16.66667%

1.3%

16.66667%


[ Critical Chance % ]

Uncommon

Rare

Legendary

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

0.3%

20.00000%

0.7%

11.11111%

1.2%

11.11111%

0.4%

20.00000%

0.8%

11.11111%

1.3%

11.11111%

0.5%

20.00000%

0.9%

11.11111%

1.4%

11.11111%

0.6%

20.00000%

1.0%

11.11111%

1.5%

11.11111%

0.7%

20.00000%

1.1%

11.11111%

1.6%

11.11111%

1.2%

11.11111%

1.7%

11.11111%

1.3%

11.11111%

1.8%

11.11111%

1.4%

11.11111%

1.9%

11.11111%

1.5%

11.11111%

2.0%

11.11111%


[ Critical Damage % ]

Uncommon

Rare

Legendary

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

0.7%

12.50000%

1.3%

5.88235%

2.4%

5.88235%

0.8%

12.50000%

1.4%

5.88235%

2.5%

5.88235%

0.9%

12.50000%

1.5%

5.88235%

2.6%

5.88235%

1.0%

12.50000%

1.6%

5.88235%

2.7%

5.88235%

1.1%

12.50000%

1.7%

5.88235%

2.8%

5.88235%

1.2%

12.50000%

1.8%

5.88235%

2.9%

5.88235%

1.3%

12.50000%

1.9%

5.88235%

3.0%

5.88235%

1.4%

12.50000%

2.0%

5.88235%

3.1%

5.88235%

2.1%

5.88235%

3.2%

5.88235%

2.2%

5.88235%

3.3%

5.88235%

2.3%

5.88235%

3.4%

5.88235%

2.4%

5.88235%

3.5%

5.88235%

2.5%

5.88235%

3.6%

5.88235%

2.6%

5.88235%

3.7%

5.88235%

2.7%

5.88235%

3.8%

5.88235%

2.8%

5.88235%

3.9%

5.88235%

2.9%

5.88235%

4.0%

5.88235%


[ Ego Recovery ]

Uncommon

Rare

Legendary

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

1

50.00000%

2

50.00000%

2

25.00000%

2

50.00000%

3

50.00000%

3

25.00000%

4

25.00000%

5

25.00000%


[ Extra Damage % ]

Uncommon

Rare

Legendary

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

0.5%

9.09091%

1.5%

9.09091%

2.7%

12.50000%

0.6%

9.09091%

1.6%

9.09091%

2.8%

12.50000%

0.7%

9.09091%

1.7%

9.09091%

2.9%

12.50000%

0.8%

9.09091%

1.8%

9.09091%

3.0%

12.50000%

0.9%

9.09091%

1.9%

9.09091%

3.1%

12.50000%

1.0%

9.09091%

2.0%

9.09091%

3.2%

12.50000%

1.1%

9.09091%

2.1%

9.09091%

3.3%

12.50000%

1.2%

9.09091%

2.2%

9.09091%

3.4%

12.50000%

1.3%

9.09091%

2.3%

9.09091%

1.4%

9.09091%

2.4%

9.09091%

1.5%

9.09091%

2.5%

9.09091%


[ Damage over Time % ]

Uncommon

Rare

Legendary

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

Value

Probability

0.5%

9.09091%

1.5%

9.09091%

2.7%

12.50000%

0.6%

9.09091%

1.6%

9.09091%

2.8%

12.50000%

0.7%

9.09091%

1.7%

9.09091%

2.9%

12.50000%

0.8%

9.09091%

1.8%

9.09091%

3.0%

12.50000%

0.9%

9.09091%

1.9%

9.09091%

3.1%

12.50000%

1.0%

9.09091%

2.0%

9.09091%

3.2%

12.50000%

1.1%

9.09091%

2.1%

9.09091%

3.3%

12.50000%

1.2%

9.09091%

2.2%

9.09091%

3.4%

12.50000%

1.3%

9.09091%

2.3%

9.09091%

1.4%

9.09091%

2.4%

9.09091%

1.5%

9.09091%

2.5%

9.09091%






Reply 0
Notification has been disabled.

Probabilities's post

List
작성 시간22/10/2025
image

Normal Rescue - Partner Rescue Rates (09/30 Edited)

22/10/2025
22/10/2025 03:00 AM
작성 시간22/10/2025
image

Normal Rescue - Combatant Rescue Rates(09/30 Edited)

22/10/2025
22/10/2025 03:00 AM
작성 시간22/10/2025
image

Codex Merging Probabilities(05/27 Edited)

22/10/2025
22/10/2025 03:00 AM
작성 시간22/10/2025
image

Memory Fragment Crafting Probabilities(11/12 Edited)

22/10/2025
22/10/2025 03:00 AM
작성 시간22/10/2025
image

Memory Fragment Upgrade Probabilities(11/12 Edited)

22/10/2025
22/10/2025 03:00 AM